President Trump is trailing Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the polls, as he has been for months. I do not know who will win this election — nor do I care to predict — but these survey trends are easily consistent enough to raise the question: Whither the GOP if Trump loses?

The president does not have a designated political heir, and it’s an open question whether his mantle will be a desirable legacy should Biden manage an embarrassing sweep. The most likely short-term outcome, I suspect, is a jostling for power among at least five intra-party factions, all but one of which could capture party leadership in the form of the 2024 presidential nod.

The first and weakest faction is whatever libertarian-leaners and Tea Party leftovers are still hanging on in the Republican Party. In federal elected office with any modicum of national recognition, this is a list I can count on one hand — Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Mike Lee (R-Utah), Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), and … that’s about it, I think, since Rep. Justin Amash (L-Mich.) jumped ship and decided not to seek re-election. There’s little room and certainly no durable, institutional power for …read more

Source:: The Week – Politics


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